soci011 - divorce rate regression

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Regression Analysis of Divorce Rate - U.S. 1920-1996

Variables

DIVMF - divorces per 1,000 married women 15 years old and over
FLFPRT - female labor force participation as % women 16 years old and over
MARUMF - marriages per 1,000 unmarried women 15 years old and over
BRTW1544 - births per 1,000 women aged 15-44
Note: UNEMP (unemployment rate) and MILPERK (military personnel on active duty per 1,000 population) were not significant and dropped from the regression

Dep Var: DIVMF   N: 77   Multiple R: 0.956080   Squared multiple R: 0.914089

Adjusted squared multiple R: 0.910558   Standard error of estimate: 1.695445

Effect         Coefficient    Std Error     Std Coef Tolerance     t   P(2 Tail)

CONSTANT         -1.545451     2.212472     0.000000   .       -0.69852 0.48707
FLFPRT            0.413374     0.022745     0.857900 0.528153 18.17408 0.00000
MARUMF            0.126094     0.021988     0.291931 0.454155 5.73479 0.00000
BRTW1544         -0.116274     0.014120    -0.400353 0.497892 -8.23467 0.00000

                             Analysis of Variance

Source             Sum-of-Squares   df Mean-Square     F-ratio       P

Regression           2232.684232     3   744.228077 258.903928    0.000000
Residual              209.840963    73     2.874534
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*** WARNING ***
Case           27 has large leverage   (Leverage =     0.262331)

Durbin-Watson D Statistic     0.238
First Order Autocorrelation   0.858

Last modified 1 Jun 2000